Why I’m Optimistic about 2012

TechCrunch quotes a warning of sorts by Venture Capitalist Josh Kopelman who basically says 2012 will be more like a correcting 2008, as opposed to a euphoric 2011. Lots of good for and against arguments on the VC investing front by the likes of Dave McClure and others in the comments on TC.

Regardless of who is right, I’m optimistic on the enterprise front.

In 2003, in the midst of the dot bust, I founded a consulting firm that had a singular value proposition. Work with CIOs and LOB leaders at large organizations to help them with a specific strand of operational efficiency. The idea was to capitalize on two realities:

1) Whilst budgets were nose diving, the long list of performance objectives that kept executives up at night showed no signed of dissipating.

2) The blank checks during the preceding dot com boom days meant lots of purchased technology was now sporting cobwebs on CDs in a drawer under a sys admins desk or in data centers.

So we set out to do two things: 1) Bring in the right business and technology strategy muscle that could help sales and marketing, HR leaders and CIOs understand how to do more with less and 2) once operational efficiency and performance objects were set, scour the basements and attics for procured technology that could best facilitate realizing critical revenue and optimizing objectives.

Customers got to do more with less and without antagonizing the CAPEX Gestapo, in exchange for a reasonable services spend. And our lean structure consisting of very available strategists, marketeers, designers and technology architects meant we made out like bandits.

But it was much harder then. Systems didn’t talk to each other easily, data came from a plethora of external and internal systems and immature offshore development was the only way to afford execution skills. You had to prioritize what you could afford and given the cost and difficulty you could only take on a few things. And by the time portals, customer support and channel extranets went live, the requirements changed. But you did the best with what you had. And smart customer executives always find a way to ‘make it happen’ come hell or high water.

If 2012 looks more like 2008 for executives looking for opportunities to get operationally efficient, I’m even more optimistic than I was in 2003. I’ll cover this in my year end post in detail but a couple of quick reasons why:

  • The plethora of cloud based systems means you don’t have to make incumbent technology do unnatural things. Chances are very good that there’s a OpEx-enabled technology solution that’s designed to solve precisely the problem you have. Every single system of record has either a cloud based forklift solution available, or a powerful add-on that helps you to keep the ball moving forward at a palatable cost. Even on-premise purveyors such as Oracle and SAP are going to offer cloud based off-shoots.
  • APIs for most systems were dismal back then. More systems are built with integration in mind from the get go than ever before. And the likes of SolutionSet or Appirio would be happy to integrate your gnarly on premise File Management system with say Jive or Tibbr or Chatter in the cloud.
  • Sources of competitive, customer and market intelligence is much less intermediated, now. Back then, we had to go to brokers (HarteHanks, Factiva, etc) to get lead, customer, competitive insight. Today that data sits at the edge, either available directly via the firehouse from say Yelp or Twitter, crowd sourced from a band of enthusiastic customers by say Spigit, aggregated and process-ized by GetSatisfaction or Assistly, or crunched by the likes of InsideView, The Dachis Group Social Business Index Service or Radian6 (based on the use case).

There’s many many more but you get the idea.  Fundamentally, this adds up to radically more approachable access to both sources of insight and the platforms that enable them.

It’s also important to note that the stakes are higher this time. In the 2003 post-crash world, relatively speaking, we were still serving the same pre-crash customer persona. Sure, we saw the likes of Amazon eat into brick and mortar commerce. But not at the scale that were witnessing at this time. Whether 2012 looks like 2008 or 2011, this market has some unique characteristics that demand that organizations can’t sit it out when it comes to specific trends that will impact who wins and who loses in the next few decades. Broadly speaking:

1. The customer contract has changed, forever. A prospect or customer’s expectations of how we engage and service her is now wildly different thanks to the social web. This requires a change in not just how we work at the edges (sales, marketing, support) but also depends on how nimble we are as organizations to rally employees, partners and suppliers around the prospects cause at hand.

2. I still remember the CEO of one of the largest spirits distributors sitting across the table and literally shaking at the idea this his business could get easily “Amazoned”. If Amazon was a threat to Barnes and Noble in 2000, imagine what the world looks like when I can walk into a BestBuy, scan a bar code on a SKU, have Amazon send me the best price online and proceed towards the exit. That’s a frightfully more radical scenario in any economy, good or bad. Service starts to become much more important if price arbitrage starts to become a thing of the past. Coined by Get Satisfaction, “Customer Service is the new Marketing” starts to become more of a striking reality.

3. Building on the Amazon / Best Buy example, a location aware mobile-first interaction with your business means that the lines are blurred between brick and mortar and digital for the foreseeable future. Fry’s Electronics here in Palo Alto gave me a discount when I showed them a lower price at Amazon on my mobile device. If the market is going to take a step back, you need to understand these dynamics so you can widen your customer footprint as much as you can. That means both find prospects wherever they are hiding but also have access to your best talent at all times to service this more demanding potential buyer.

This might sound like FUD but it’s not. Its an opportunity to understand and then react to a changing market. Same thing you’ve done as executives in down turns and customer shifts in the past. But more practical to do this time and in a way that won’t make your CFO reach for the antacid.

All of this makes me optimistic for the near term future of our industry. On one hand, it’s going to be more important to keep moving the ball foreword in 2012. But the mechanisms to do that thanks to easier interoperability, comprehensive availability of cloud based application services that looks like the longest Chinese restaurant menu you’ve ever seen, and finally, unfiltered visibility into what a prospect and customer expects from us has never been clearer. This results in a much more efficient approach to deciding where to spend dollars that really really matter. Note, I didn’t say easy. I’m saying necessary yet, much easier.

That to me is optimism not only to keep the lights on in a presumably tough 2012 but also to set the foundation for what competing means way beyond the living embers from this coming forest fire.

 

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 11-27-11 · 1 Comment »

Marketing your Marketing

Chalk this up to another example of why Marketing STILL doesn’t get social.

Social Times reports that the way to get more “Likes” on Facebook is to offer coupons to satiate the what’s-in-it-for-me hunger of an increasingly discriminating social networker.

This might well be that moment in social media marketing history when we look back and say – “what were we thinking??”

I quote:

A recent survey conducted by Ad Age/Ipsos Observer finds that coupons are the number one reason consumers “like” brands on Facebook.

We’ve all seen the popularity of daily deal sites like Groupon, but it turns out that good ol’ retail coupons are a great incentive for Faebook users to “like” a business page. The findings of the survey make sense: Facebook users are not typically willing to share their information and their network with just anyone, but it seems they’re more willing to do so if they get something in return

Basically, entice your visitors to ‘Like’ your business page by throwing them a discount coupon.

Look, I’m a big believer in in-bound marketing on the social web, done right. I’ve gained tremendously from it in my own work. It’s opened gigantic doors for me to communicate and sell the promise of social and collaborative business as a way to accelerate performance. But increasingly there’s data emerging about the hype that is social media marketing from a lead generation standpoint. And this kind of stuff just adds to the exuberance.

I never thought I would do a whole post on a single social networking gesture but this is about the larger issue of not getting sucked into the social vortex without careful thought and resource implications.

A ‘Like’, simply, is designed to imply that I like your product. In marketing lingo, that is supposed to mean that I’m at minimum an unqualified interested party, and sends a message back that I might be a candidate to move up the engagement funnel or spiral or what have you. And ultimately towards a pre-defined call-to-action.

Throw in a coupon and you’re playing with allegiances now. Sure, your ‘Likes’ will go up but does that really translate to likes? Or was it just for the coupon? Seems like nothing’s lost but is it worth the time of your marketing and sales teams to deal with the scores of follow-ups? This looks like a knock off of trade show marketing where we are duped into believing that 1000 interested prospects came to our booth where in reality 700 just wanted to drop their business card in the till for a chance to win an iPad2.

In traditional marketing this may fly as the cost and effort to send out a 1000 follow up emails is minimal. To do in-bound marketing right, you need to engage and the manual nature of this gets really expensive when you do more enticing to attract unqualified buyers. That ends up in your organization topping off marketing with even more marketing.

Get off the treadmill. Make sure you’re not marketing your marketing.

 

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 11-23-11 · 1 Comment »

TideMark: Bringing Collaborative Performance to an EPM Problem near you.

Lets cut to the chase: The business intelligence we rely on as enterprises to perform better can suck at times. I remember a famous dot com era business systems accomplishment that was touted up and down silicon valley. I paraphrase but it went something like this: “Cisco has the ability to do a virtual close on its books every night. That’s real time IT enabled management”. Well, fat lot of good that did with respect to anticipating the coming economic nosedive and preparing accordingly. Just like everyone else, Cisco stock fell from a high of about $80/share to under 20 bucks. This isn’t a ding against Cisco. Many organizations did the best they could to be operationally efficient with the tools and process thinking available at the time.

Our ability to track, forecast, measure, analyze and then tune or change course has been a wild west effort for a long time. For a number of primary reasons:

1. The intelligence we need is often in the wrong hands. By being top loaded primarily for the management ranks, we still faced the same down stream do-something-about-it execution risk.

2. Rolex watch style exclusivity for the chosen few that monitor as opposed to those that have the skill and responsibility to act and course-correct.

3. Almost zero ability to federate tough problems and let the best minds even get wind of the problem, let alone contribute to solving it.

4. And finally, business at the speed of PC access that just doesn’t cut it, especially today.

It’s as much a people and a design problem as it is a technology feat. But as I’ve said numerous times, it’s a hellava lot easier when the technology plays nice. Last week I had the opportunity to see some new enterprise performance management technology from TideMark that brings a fresh approach to an age old business problem: Really complex and expensive technology that produces reports and charts that few and sometimes the wrong people inside organizations read and react to.

Ben Horowitz of Andreessen Horowitz (investors in TideMark) characterizes the problem in a different way but it captures the essence of the fundamental change in how we need to look at the health of our businesses:

“Beyond these platform advantages, Tidemark changes the nature of data analytics by ditching the two fundamental and problematic questions on which the existing industry is based:

  • What data do I have?
  • What reports do I want?

The trouble with these questions is that a) it is highly unlikely that you’ve gathered all of the relevant data in the right schema and format prior to needing it, b) businesses are not best represented in reports and c) the reports generally say very little that’s interesting about the future. “

I dont cover software releases often here but this one is different. Why? Because it speaks to what you’ve read here since 2009: How performance acceleration comes from leveraging the best of structured data and insight on one had, and manipulation smarts of our employees, our customers and our partners. All in the context of a business problem or an opportunity.  TideMark strives to do just this. By leveraging the efficiency and agility of the cloud and contextual collaboration, and in harmony with more current data sets that include not just critical internal data in your business systems but also pubic and public social data, they want to give you a more holistic answer to critical business questions. Not after the fact but when there is time to course correct.

TideMark seems to come at the problem with very promising elements. See what Dennis Howlett has to say about the state of financial insight, and Larry Dignan‘s take on the intricacies of Enterprise Performance Management. I distill down the value that TideMark brings, to three big elements:

1. Analytics in the hands of those that can DO something about the insight.

TideMark is designed as much for mahogany row as it is for those on the line managing critical execution and decision-making tasks. A huge distinction as compared to traditional reporting and metrics data which is limited to more senior people. Ultimately, its the store manager at Starbucks, the Factory Planner in the warehouse, and the UPS driver that can tell you how likely you are to meeting business objectives. And more important, fix the problems that can derail a business plan.

2. Collaboration at the point of context.

It fascinates me how we’ve lived such unnecessarily risky lives as business managers by limiting entire processes to a few chosen few that we think are the best people for the job, from concept to finish. The marketing expert can’t easily reach out to a product manager, the sales rep doesn’t even know who designed the products they sell. By enabling collaboration between anointed experts and the rest of the organization, we can plan and predict far more effectively. To do that we need to enable collaboration at the right points in our data consoles and our workflows. Its early days and TideMark has ways to go to enable silo-free collaboration but what is important is that they recognize the pivotal role of collaboration, enough to include it in version one. This how enterprise systems need to be built in my opinion and they have so, from the get go.

3. Designing for today’s dataset.

The public web gives you more unfiltered data on what your customers really think than we’ve ever had in the history of marketing. But to date, our collection and understanding of this data has been through brokers and manipulators of this information, and at latency levels that would just never work today (e.g. 4 months for a competitive assessment from your favorite management consultancy). Any business intelligence and performance management tool today needs to be able to take in first hand data and create insight that sits alongside what our ERP applications can tell us. That’s a true amalgamation of not just what we think about our businesses but what our customers and partners objectively think as well. Tidemark proposes to account for this holistic view.

Beyond this, they have the other elements of what makes a 21st century business application relevant, let alone useful.  Device-first design to get you analytics and performance data that cannot wait till you get back to your desktop. And native integration into existing systems such as SAP and Oracle that house underlying data.

The devil is in the details but this is clear: This fight is going to be one that’s fought with knuckle-dusters. Incumbent providers such as SAP, Oracle and others have cloud based BI and EPM solutions, complete with tablet consumption abilities and an established distribution channel to boot. And we’ve already seen cloud based BI such as Lucid Era fail to get off the ground indicating that this isn’t simple. But TideMark seems to have thought through the simple elements of what makes performance management well…perform: be available where decisions need to be optimized and committed, understand the needs of public and private raw intelligence, and finally – democratize collaborative decision facilitation to get the best possible insight.

Dennis has this right. It’s early days but TideMark has the opportunity to fill the glaring void in the emerging ‘Cloud Cabal’. Salesforce.com offers CRM, the underlying force.com platform and the social layer in Chatter; Workday currently offers HCM and Financials and pipes data into and out of Chatter; Kenandy brings Supply Chain/MRP to Force.com subscribers. And now TideMark offers EPM with ready hooks into Workday.

This is one to watch.

 

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 10-20-11 · No Comments »

PwC: Enterprise Success with Emerging Social Technology #socbiz

As a follow up to this post commenting on PriceWaterHouse Coopers (PwC) extensive report on Social and Collaborative Business, PwC just published the conversation we had a few months ago. We talked about the following:

  • Recent challenges companies have been facing on the collaboration front
  • The current generation of tools and how they’re moving toward that goal and advantages/ disadvantages / inhibitors of different approaches
  • Systemic inefficiencies
  • And in the midst of all of this, the changing role of Identity (more on this subject, here)

You can find the whole interview on PwC.com, here.

 

 

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 10-10-11 · No Comments »

Assessing the Real Value of ‘Me’

Last year, I had the opportunity to spend a day in Monterey, California with CHROs and HR executives from some of the largest organizations in the world. My charter was to suggest a practical pathway for how HR can become a critical weapon in the arsenal of ‘compete to win in the 21st century’ planning and how the connected enterprise will play a role. As we got to the ‘great,-now-lets-talk-execution” part of this conversation, one of the issues we tackled together was what tomorrow’s Employee System of Record needs to look like if HR wants to become a meaningful player at the strategy table. In the past year, the business need for this is becoming clearer to executives, and the strategic know-how and enabling technology have made much progress. So I thought I’d abstract that discussion and bring it here.

“I’m much more than what HR thinks of me, today”.

The foundational ingredient to craft highly connected enterprises properly is two fold:

  1. The collaborative context that warrants a huddle in the first place, and
  2. Who the right players are to get the job done.

I’ve written a lot about the need for collaborative context over the last 2 years. This post is about the players.

The single most important nut we need to crack first is the efficient ‘findability ’ of people. If we don’t know who to engage with, we can’t well…engage effectively. And if we cant engage with the right people, we can’t share or socialize our day to day exceptions (or calls for help) effectively. And ultimately, we can’t collaborate effectively to impact performance.

Intelligence on who to reach out to is arguably the most powerful yet decrepit utility inside organizations today. At worst, its fragmented across multiple, difficult to use systems. Even for those organizations that are fortunate to not have multiple systems of employee records, the information regarding where the best minds hide and what they know is woefully incomplete, overtly guarded and not available at the point in time or location of decision making.

For organizations to collaborate effectively, assessing the real value of ‘Me’ in the organization needs to be characterized by 4 dimensions that cover not just what HR estimates of me, but also be based directly on the merits of my work.

The way to get to #’s (2), (3) and (4) is to ensure that you have a 2011 model Identity capability that’s coupled well with your collaboration and HR system of record. That not only lets you explicitly illustrate (2) and (3) but also lets you implicitly capture (4) in near real-time and without middleman interpretation. In sum, this gives managers and peers a true sense of an employee capabilities.

The value of this highly enriched data set on real employee value may well belong to HR as it always has, but the opportunity is much much larger than general purpose human capital insight. It’s now highly tuned to empower in-the-flow talent brokering as dynamic teams of employees, customers, partners and even suppliers huddle together to solve problems and ship products at the speed and quality that today’s highly informed customer expects. That’s infinitely more powerful than a general purpose resource management profile that’s visited primarily at the time of hiring, re-allocation, (sub-optimal) performance review and firing/retrenchment.  If you stop to think about it, the real performing happens between these events. That’s when employee insight is needed the most.

The Performance Benefits.

Each of these are complete posts in and of themselves that I will do at some point but the immediate value, as I see it, can be characterized in critical areas, listed below. I’m drawing on snippets I’ve written previously, but I also want to add a fourth, and that’s Financial Performance.

——————————

HR Performance

You now have the opportunity to fold in important behavioral data such as degree of sharing, helping, engaging, contribution and involvement, giving HR a broader set of data points about the employees allegiance to the firm and dare I say, employee lifetime (with the company at least) value. These important data points complement traditional performance metrics giving you a sense of how critical each employee might be to a business unit, a product line, a geographic territory and ultimately to the company as a whole.

Line of Business Performance

Todays customer is expecting us to break through organization silos and rally around their questions and other needs. In terms of business objectives alignment, measuring and dynamically optimizing how different functions come together to support say, field marketing, product launches, customer pitches or support inquiries now becomes much more efficient. There’s crucial lessons to be learned here in terms of not only identifying who the rock stars were, but also how to institutionalize well performing processes and interaction models going forward, based on who did what, and how.

Financial Performance

CFOs mostly learn about failing investments after the fact. In the flow analytics gleaned from collaboration also gives managers distinct insight into how projects are performing as they happen, if the resource mix is right, and again, who to keep, re-place, or remove, before its too late. That’s a really powerful outcome from amalgamating traditional knowledge from HR, and what our collaborative programs can supplement.

——————————

But Will the Technology Play Nice?

All of this resonated well with the CHROs and Executives at the retreat. But it’s all theory until a) the right strategic know-how is leveraged to come close to this, and b) the enabling technology plays nice. Ever since 1999, this whole blog and our work has been about (a). But for the technology to play nice it takes three elements:

1. The ability for HR to collaborate as a team to make this a reality.

2. A back to the drawing board design on how such information is collected, visualized, mobilized and acted upon.

3. A fluid connectivity architecture and ISV partnership model that enables the connectivity between structured HR and collaborative infrastructure in the context of your business execution needs.

Process and tech innovation in the HR space is on a tear at the moment. Earlier this month, I spent day at WorkDay’s Technology Summit and you sense that they are intently focused on this reality. Decisive device-first design that accounts for how and where we need to consume people insight so we can act; internal feed based streams for HR collaboration, yet necessary ISV integration and extensibility to connect with collaborative systems (where this employee intelligence lies). And most important, the federation of this intelligence to managers and employees alike, so they can perform better by leveraging it. As much as I’m advocating a love fest between HR and Collaboration systems, each of these require very different functional sets to get right from a participation and uptake stand point. And so there’s certainly merit in letting expert purveyors build each system and have them talk to each other. Between what’s here and the roadmap they shared, Workday seems to be doing just this. (More from Mike Fauscette on what we learned that day.)

Oracle has also given Rich Profiles and Unified Communications pole position in its design across its Fusion Applications to enable both finding and engaging, and has its own suite of content and collaboration tools. SAP is taking mobile very seriously and from what I just heard, SAP Career OnDemand has HR collaboration front and center and I’ll be seeing more, soon. Others such as Saba and SuccessFactors have elected to sport their own collaborative systems.

Closing Thoughts….

The race for market leadership via a new connected and people centered way of work is well underway at many global organizations. Whilst we in the blogosphere bloviate about Social Business this and Enterprise 2.0 that, remember, this is all first and foremost about the smart identity access and leverage. That then opens the door to efficient resourcing, then better co-creation and problem solving, and ultimately, business performance. Get identity wrong, and you’ve handicapped your odds of success, no matter how shiny your social tools or how big your budget.

Bill Kutik of HRTech fame aptly characterized HR as the ‘Rodney Dangerfield’ of the Executive Suite. I couldn’t have said it better. As I discussed with the esteemed group of CHROs and executives at the retreat, in my estimation, HR as a function has been beaten down (emotionally) to a pulp over the last decade. This function has had the ugly pleasure of, one one hand, getting near zero credit for those very rock stars they sourced who were responsible for blazing performance in good times, but yet were handed the dirty job of laying off thousands in bad times.  Now is their time to design for and to transition into the ultimate brokers of real people intelligence. And to then trade on that indispensable currency as the rest of the leadership sizes up what effectively competing and winning in the 21st century will entail.

 

Comments rolling in on Google Plus, here.

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 09-21-11 · 4 Comments »

Talking Collaboration on BlogTalk Radio

I did an interview on BlogTalkRadio today with the terrific Chris Coleman and Aparna Sharma who were nice enough to invite me on to their Radio Show.

BlogTalkRadio LogoChris and I talked about how social and collaborative concepts can power real business challenges and opportunities, examples of strategic alignment, the value of social analytics towards employee performance / HR measurement and realizing benefit during and at point of scale.

Thanks to Aparna for inviting me and to Chris for a fun chat.

And here is the recording:

Listen to internet radio with Collaboration Pizza on Blog Talk Radio

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 04-14-11 · No Comments »

Ha! The Case for Business Analytics in 5 minutes by L. Vaughan Spencer

Good ole Brit humor.

Hat Tip: Oliver Marks. Via The Economist.

Continue reading » · Rating: · Written on: 04-04-11 · No Comments »